Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2688 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 2688 · DFW → SNA

departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 3:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2688 · DFW → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?