AA 2718 · PHL → FLL

departs 1:59 PM ET · arrives 4:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2718 · PHL → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?