Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2779 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 2779 · ORD → ATL

departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 10:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2779 · ORD → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?