Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2786SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2786 · PHX → ORD
departs 3:28 PM MT · arrives 9:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±0 pts+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.