AA 2798 · FLL → DFW

took off 8:59 PM ET · expected to land 10:41 PM CT (scheduled 7:27 PM ET → 9:36 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
97%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2798 · FLL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?