Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2805SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2805 · TPA → LGA
departs 12:11 PM ET · arrives 3:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±10 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.