Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2840SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2840 · PHL → ORD
departs 11:03 PM ET · arrives 12:29 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.