Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 299 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:42 PM CEST, ETA 5:11 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 299 · MXP → PHL

took off 2:42 PM CEST · expected to land 5:11 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MXP (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 299 · MXP → PHL

Odds over time