Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3089 LANDED 11:26 AM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 3089 · DFW → VPS

took off 9:59 AM CT · landed 11:26 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at VPS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

VPS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.38 mi Precip1.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3089 · DFW → VPS

Odds over time