Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3089 LANDED 2:34 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 3089 · VPS → DFW

took off 12:59 PM CT · landed 2:34 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at VPS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

VPS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.74 in

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3089 · VPS → DFW

Odds over time