Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3103 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 3103 · LGA → DFW

departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±10 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3103 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?