Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3164 LANDED 1:39 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 3164 · PHL → PIT

took off 12:52 AM ET · landed 1:39 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3164 · PHL → PIT

Odds over time