AA 3295 · LGA → DFW

departs 2:17 PM ET · arrives 5:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,667 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3295 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?