Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 718 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 718 · PHL → FCO

departs 5:04 PM ET · arrives 7:06 AM CEST

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at FCO more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

FCO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 718 · PHL → FCO

Odds over time