Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 746 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:41 PM ET, ETA 7:41 AM CEST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 746 · PHL → NCE

took off 6:41 PM ET · expected to land 7:41 AM CEST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at NCE more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

NCE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 746 · PHL → NCE

Odds over time