Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1057 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AS 1057 · KOA → HNL

departs 10:51 AM HT · arrives 11:40 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ 10am departures from KOA are usually not late

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1057 · KOA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?