tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1401 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:23 AM PT, ETA 9:34 AM PT)
Today

AS 1401 · SEA → SAN

took off 7:23 AM PT · expected to land 9:34 AM PT (scheduled 7:04 AM PT → 9:53 AM PT)
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.