Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1444SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1444 · SLC → SEA
departs 6:23 AM MT · arrives 7:35 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.