AS 1459 · YEG → SEA

departs 7:58 AM MDT · arrives 8:50 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YEG

↓ Other factors

↓ 7am departures from YEG are usually not late

Weather at each end

YEG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1459 · YEG → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?