Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1552 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AS 1552 · SEA → FAI

departs 9:53 AM PT · arrives 12:44 PM AKT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAI?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAI

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

FAI (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1552 · SEA → FAI

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAI?