Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2614 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:22 PM ET, ETA 4:38 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AS 2614 · CVG → PDX

took off 3:22 PM ET · expected to land 4:38 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from CVG are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2614 · CVG → PDX

Odds over time