Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 323SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 323 · RNO → SEA
departs 6:03 AM PT · arrives 8:02 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.