Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 350 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AS 350 · SEA → GEG

departs 10:54 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 10pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 350 · SEA → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?