Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 426SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 426 · SEA → BUR
departs 9:43 AM PT · arrives 12:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±2 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.