Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 457 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AS 457 · SEA → PSP

departs 10:51 AM PT · arrives 12:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 457 · SEA → PSP

Odds over time