tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 54 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 54 · ANC → SEA

departs 1:29 AM AKT · arrives 6:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 6.2d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    91%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.