tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 582 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 582 · PSP → SEA

departs 2:10 PM PT · arrives 5:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.