Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 584 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:56 AM PT, ETA 12:07 PM AKT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AS 584 · SEA → ANC

took off 9:56 AM PT · expected to land 12:07 PM AKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 584 · SEA → ANC

Odds over time