AS 593 · ANC → PDX

departs 1:41 AM AKT · arrives 6:27 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

PDX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 593 · ANC → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?