Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 609 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AS 609 · ANC → PDX

departs 1:22 AM AKT · arrives 6:00 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 1am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 609 · ANC → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?