Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 610 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:35 AM PT, ETA 1:51 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AS 610 · PSP → SEA

took off 11:35 AM PT · expected to land 1:51 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ PSP is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 610 · PSP → SEA

Odds over time