Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 689 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AS 689 · GST → JNU

departs 5:53 PM AKDT · arrives 6:29 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JNU?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at GST that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ 5pm departures from GST are usually not late

Weather at each end

GST (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.68 in

JNU (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.92 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 689 · GST → JNU

Odds over time

How late will it get to JNU?