Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7011 LANDED 10:40 AM AKDT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AS 7011 · ANC → OME

took off 9:28 AM AKT · landed 10:40 AM AKDT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ANC that day

↓ 9am departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into OME at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.17 in

OME (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7011 · ANC → OME

Odds over time