Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 702 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AS 702 · SNA → SEA

departs 8:05 AM PT · arrives 10:55 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 702 · SNA → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?