AS 888 · LAX → HNL

departs 8:32 PM PT · arrives 11:31 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 888 · LAX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?