B6 120 · ATL → JFK

departs 2:14 PM ET · arrives 4:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.14 in

JFK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 120 · ATL → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?