B6 1252 · RSW → HPN

took off 5:04 PM ET · landed 7:31 PM ET (scheduled 5:00 PM ET → 8:08 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HPN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from RSW are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HPN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HPN (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1252 · RSW → HPN

Odds over time

How late did it get to HPN?