B6 1626 · FLL → RDU

departs 7:58 AM ET · arrives 10:18 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1626 · FLL → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?