B6 2601 · HPN → SJU

departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 11:51 AM AT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ HPN is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2601 · HPN → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?