Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2875
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
B6 2875 · MCO → PVD
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 7:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PVD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.