Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 452
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
B6 452 · SJU → TPA
departs 6:00 AM AT · arrives 8:59 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 13%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.