Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EVA AIR · FLIGHT BR 5 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:57 PM PT, ETA 5:23 PM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

BR 5 · LAX → TPE

took off 12:57 PM PT · expected to land 5:23 PM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BR 5 · LAX → TPE

Odds over time