Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 481 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

BW 481 · FLL → POS

departs 4:32 PM ET · arrives 7:56 PM AST

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at POS more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at POS

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

POS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BW 481 · FLL → POS

Odds over time