Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4288 LANDED 2:08 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

C5 4288 · IAD → CAE

took off 1:05 PM ET · landed 2:08 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into CAE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

CAE (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4288 · IAD → CAE

Odds over time