C5 4292 · IAH → HSV

took off 6:57 PM CT · expected to land 8:17 PM CT (scheduled 6:29 PM CT → 8:22 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HSV?

LIVE

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4292 · IAH → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?