Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4848 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:57 PM ET, ETA 3:01 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

C5 4848 · TYS → IAD

took off 1:57 PM ET · expected to land 3:01 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from TYS are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4848 · TYS → IAD

Odds over time