Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4902 LANDED 4:32 PM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

C5 4902 · IAH → ECP

took off 3:07 PM CT · landed 4:32 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 4.8 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ ECP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ECP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip5.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4902 · IAH → ECP

Odds over time