Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4909 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:40 PM CT, ETA 2:07 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

C5 4909 · HSV → IAH

took off 12:40 PM CT · expected to land 2:07 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from HSV are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV

↓ C5's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4909 · HSV → IAH

Odds over time