Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4939 LANDED 9:17 AM ET, ~20 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

C5 4939 · ITH → MDT

took off 8:28 AM ET · landed 9:17 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

ITH (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4939 · ITH → MDT

Odds over time