Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CHINA AIRLINES · FLIGHT CI 5345 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

CI 5345 · SFO → TPE

departs 11:37 PM PT · arrives 3:09 AM CST

Your aircraft is B18778 (B77L), coming in as CI 5345 from ATL: still at ATL, due off about 7:29 PM ET, 153 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CI 5345 · SFO → TPE

Odds over time